Ear­lier this month, the United States Supreme Court announced it would hear oral argu­ments and issue a ruling on the con­sti­tu­tion­ality of the Obama administration’s con­tro­ver­sial health-​​care reform leg­is­la­tion. We asked Kristin Madison, a North­eastern Uni­ver­sity pro­fessor with dual appoint­ments in the School of Law and the Bouvé Col­lege of Health Sci­ences, to assess the upcoming case.

What issues in the health-​​care law will the Supreme Court most likely scru­ti­nize during oral argu­ments this spring?

The Supreme Court has agreed to hear argu­ments on four sep­a­rate issues. First, is the Patient Pro­tec­tion and Afford­able Care Act’s require­ment that indi­vid­uals pur­chase insur­ance con­sti­tu­tional? The states involved in the law­suit argue that Con­gress does not have the con­sti­tu­tional authority to impose the man­date. The fed­eral gov­ern­ment argues that because the con­sti­tu­tion gives Con­gress the power to reg­u­late com­merce, Con­gress has the authority to man­date the pur­chase of insurance.

The second issue is whether the man­date is “sev­er­able” from other pro­vi­sions in the health care law. Sev­er­ability is impor­tant because it will deter­mine how much of the law will become invalid if the man­date is declared uncon­sti­tu­tional. If the man­date is uncon­sti­tu­tional and not sev­er­able, the entire Afford­able Care Act will be invalid. If the man­date is sev­er­able, it will be invalid but other parts of the Afford­able Care Act can remain in effect.

The third issue involves a fed­eral statute called the Anti-​​Injunction Act that pro­hibits cer­tain legal chal­lenges to taxes before they are col­lected. One appeals court deter­mined that it could not hear a case involving a con­sti­tu­tional chal­lenge to the man­date because the penalty imposed on indi­vid­uals who fail to sat­isfy the mandate’s require­ments is in fact a “tax.” If this analysis is cor­rect, the man­date cannot be chal­lenged until after the first penal­ties are col­lected in 2014.
The final issue is whether the Afford­able Care Act’s expan­sion of the Med­icaid pro­gram is con­sti­tu­tion­ally permissible.

The court sched­uled five-​​and-​​a-​​half hours for argu­ment instead of the usual one hour. Is this a common move by the court, and what does it say about how the jus­tices view the case?

For most of the cases it accepts, the Supreme Court devotes one hour to lawyers’ argu­ments before the Court. Sched­uling five-​​and-​​a-​​half hours for oral argu­ments is highly unusual; the oral argu­ments in the Bush v. Gore vote recount case, for example, lasted only one-​​and-​​a-​​half hours. The deci­sion to schedule such lengthy argu­ments likely reflects the number, com­plexity and impor­tance of the issues involved.

What would happen should the Supreme Court ulti­mately strike down the most con­tentious part of the leg­is­la­tion, the indi­vidual man­date? Would that inval­i­date the entire law or could other pro­vi­sions remain in effect?

When a Florida fed­eral dis­trict court judge found the indi­vidual man­date uncon­sti­tu­tional, he struck down the entire Afford­able Care Act. In doing so, he declared invalid not just the indi­vidual man­date, but also the Act’s insurance-​​related pro­vi­sions, such as a pro­hi­bi­tion on denying insur­ance to people with pre­ex­isting con­di­tions, and numerous other pro­vi­sions unre­lated to the man­date, many of which had already taken effect. The appeals court reversed this part of the Florida judge’s deci­sion, holding that the indi­vidual man­date was sev­er­able from the rest of the statute, so that the man­date was invalid but the Afford­able Care Act’s other pro­vi­sions remained in effect.

If the Supreme Court were to find the man­date uncon­sti­tu­tional, it could strike down just that require­ment (as the appeals court did), the entire statute (as the dis­trict court did) or some­thing in between these two extremes. A dis­trict court in Penn­syl­vania, for example, sev­ered the man­date, the pre­ex­isting con­di­tion pro­vi­sion and cer­tain other insurance-​​related pro­vi­sions from the rest of the Act. In deter­mining how much of the statute to declare invalid if it finds the man­date uncon­sti­tu­tional, the Supreme Court would likely con­sider whether Con­gress would have enacted the other pro­vi­sions of the Afford­able Care Act in the absence of the indi­vidual mandate.